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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

West Forest Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Baltimore

Tract 24510280302 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 3,543 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

24510280302 is a census tract in the West Forest Park area of Baltimore, MD. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,543 residents. Cost burden runs about a quarter here against 50.2% across Baltimore City.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 51% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,249
Renter share67.3%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$81,827

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In West Forest Park
Moderate
Within parent city
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#157 of 199 tracts In Baltimore
Low
Within county
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#157 of 199 tracts In Baltimore city
Low
Within state
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#700 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.3179, -76.6935 · click any tract to drill in

Why West Forest Park scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,045 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0

How West Forest Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
West Forest Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 2803026.6Baltimoreparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in West Forest Park

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 35.1% against 15.2% nationally. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.8/10. Food insecurity runs 33.5% against 17.8% nationally.

67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Against the Baltimore City average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points. At $1,045 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Baltimore commands.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Baltimore. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $81,827, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510280302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510280302?

Census tract 24510280302 in the West Forest Park neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24510280302?

Median gross rent is $1,045/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510280302?

10.7% of residents in tract 24510280302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,543.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510280302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 46th, minority 97th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 24510280302 considered part of West Forest Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510280302 fall within West Forest Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24510280302 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24510280302 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510280302 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24510280302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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