Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally
West Forest Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Baltimore
Tract 24510280302 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 3,543 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
In the West Forest Park neighborhood of Baltimore, census tract 24510280302 scores 6.2/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 80th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 24% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,045 a month while the average household earns $81,827 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 67% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 51%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,249
Renter share67.3%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$81,827
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
21
th percentile
Low
Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baltimore and the region
Centroid at 39.3179, -76.6935 · click any tract to drill in
Why West Forest Park scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,045 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0
How West Forest Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 62%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.8%Housing insecurity
- 20.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 33.5%Food insecurity
- 35.1%SNAP enrollment
- 16.7%Transit barriers
- 9.8%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 36.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in West Forest Park
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Baltimore City County average of 7.1 and below the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24510280302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510280302?
Census tract 24510280302 in the West Forest Park neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24510280302?
Median gross rent is $1,045/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24510280302?
10.7% of residents in tract 24510280302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,543.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24510280302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 46th, minority 97th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 24510280302 considered part of West Forest Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510280302 fall within West Forest Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24510280302 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24510280302 compare to Baltimore overall?
Tract 24510280302 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 24510280302 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore
Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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