Central Gloucester Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.8/10. It sits 1.7 points above the Essex County average of 6.0.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. 65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10.

On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 54% of renters.

Average gross rent is $1,338, close to the Gloucester average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $53,654.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.