Central Gloucester Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 25009221600 ·
Essex County, MA · pop 2,809 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
25009221600 is a census tract in the Central Gloucester Historic District area of Gloucester, MA. It scores 7.7/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%Stable renters 19%Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,125
Renter share52.9%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$59,205
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#3 of 5 tracts In Central Gloucester Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
75th percentile
#3 of 9 tracts In Gloucester
High
Within county
81th percentile
#33 of 173 tracts In Essex County
High
Within state
77th percentile
#377 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gloucester and the region
Centroid at 42.6233, -70.6724 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central Gloucester Historic District scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gloucester
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,306 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gloucester
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gloucester
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gloucester
6.8
How Central Gloucester Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
53%Socioeconomic
67%Household composition
44%Racial/ethnic minority
50%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Central Gloucester Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.8%Housing insecurity
10.3%Utility-shutoff threat
16.9%Food insecurity
22.1%SNAP enrollment
9.9%Transit barriers
5.3%No health insurance
18.9%Frequent mental distress
32.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central Gloucester Historic District
64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Essex County average of 50.7%. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.7/10. It sits 1.7 points above the Essex County average of 6.0.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 6.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Average gross rent is $1,306, close to the Gloucester average.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $59,205. 53% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25009221600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009221600?
Census tract 25009221600 in the Central Gloucester Historic District neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25009221600?
Median gross rent is $1,306/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25009221600?
15.4% of residents in tract 25009221600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,809.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25009221600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 67th, minority 44th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 25009221600 considered part of Central Gloucester Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009221600 fall within Central Gloucester Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25009221600 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25009221600 compare to Gloucester overall?
Tract 25009221600 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Gloucester at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gloucester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gloucester
Top eight tracts in Gloucester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.