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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Orange Center Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25011040501 · Franklin County, MA · pop 3,969 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 5.7/10, tract 25011040501 in the Orange Center Historic District neighborhood of Orange ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,969 residents. That is riskier than about 65% of US census tracts.

About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $983 a month while the average household earns $53,468 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 17% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,594
Renter share34.1%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$53,468

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Orange Center Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Orange
Moderate
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 19 tracts In Franklin County
High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#183 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Orange and the region

Centroid at 42.6029, -72.3152 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orange Center Historic District scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Orange
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$983 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orange
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orange
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orange
8.1

How Orange Center Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orange Center Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 040501Orange: 6.36.3Orangeparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 344Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 4.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.8%Peak (2013)
  • 31Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 250110405012004: 23 filings (4.81/100 renter HHs)2005: 21 filings (4.34/100 renter HHs)2006: 9 filings (1.86/100 renter HHs)2007: 17 filings (3.51/100 renter HHs)2008: 31 filings (6.41/100 renter HHs)2009: 28 filings (5.79/100 renter HHs)2010: 36 filings (7.03/100 renter HHs)2011: 22 filings (3.18/100 renter HHs)2012: 21 filings (3.04/100 renter HHs)2013: 40 filings (5.79/100 renter HHs)2014: 33 filings (4.78/100 renter HHs)2015: 32 filings (4.63/100 renter HHs)2016: 31 filings (6.30/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 35% over the past 13 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orange Center Historic District

The heaviest input here is housing court bias at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Orange, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Franklin County average of 5.2 and in line with the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25011040501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25011040501?

Census tract 25011040501 in the Orange Center Historic District neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25011040501?

Median gross rent is $983/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25011040501?

20.7% of residents in tract 25011040501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,969.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25011040501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 80th, minority 17th, housing 65th.
Q5

Is tract 25011040501 considered part of Orange Center Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25011040501 fall within Orange Center Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25011040501?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 344 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 25011040501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.73% of renter households, peaking at 5.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25011040501 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25011040501 compare to Orange overall?

Tract 25011040501 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Orange at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orange; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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