Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Indian Orchard Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield
Tract 25013810412 ·
Hampden County, MA · pop 5,749 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 4.1/10, tract 25013810412 in the Indian Orchard area of Hampden County, MA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,749 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.5/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%Stable renters 6%Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units2,479
Renter share10.7%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$73,350
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Indian Orchard
Very Low
Within county
31th percentile
#72 of 104 tracts In Hampden County
Low
Within state
13th percentile
#1,404 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very Low
National
44th percentile
#47,371 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 42.1766, -72.4921 · click any tract to drill in
Why Indian Orchard scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,163 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
5.0
How Indian Orchard compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
21%Socioeconomic
92%Household composition
21%Racial/ethnic minority
5%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Indian Orchard. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.5%Housing insecurity
7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
12.1%Food insecurity
15.7%SNAP enrollment
7.3%Transit barriers
4.6%No health insurance
18.0%Frequent mental distress
34.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Indian Orchard
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.7 points below the Hampden County average of 5.8. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.8/10. On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters. Average gross rent runs $1,163 a month.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 25013810412
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013810412?
Census tract 25013810412 in the Indian Orchard neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25013810412?
Median gross rent is $1,163/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25013810412?
6.0% of residents in tract 25013810412 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,749.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25013810412?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 92th, minority 21th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 25013810412 considered part of Indian Orchard?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013810412 fall within Indian Orchard (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25013810412 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25013810412 compare to Springfield overall?
Tract 25013810412 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.