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Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally

Indian Orchard Eviction Risk: Lower , Springfield

Tract 25013810412 · Hampden County, MA · pop 5,749 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

How risky is the Indian Orchard area of Springfield for landlords? Census tract 25013810412 scores 6.1/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 78th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,163 monthly, set against $73,350 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 11% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 6% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units2,479
Renter share10.7%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$73,350

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Indian Orchard
Very Low
Within county
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#78 of 104 tracts In Hampden County
Low
Within state
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#778 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Moderate
National
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#53,267 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 42.1766, -72.4921 · click any tract to drill in

Why Indian Orchard scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,163 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
5.0

How Indian Orchard compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Indian Orchard risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.33.3This tracttract 810412Springfield: 6.76.7Springfieldparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Indian Orchard. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Indian Orchard

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hampden County average of 6.6 and in line with the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013810412

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013810412?

Census tract 25013810412 in the Indian Orchard neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25013810412?

Median gross rent is $1,163/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013810412?

6.0% of residents in tract 25013810412 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,749.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013810412?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 92th, minority 21th, housing 5th.
Q5

Is tract 25013810412 considered part of Indian Orchard?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013810412 fall within Indian Orchard (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25013810412 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25013810412 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 25013810412 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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