Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Pine Valley Plantation Eviction Risk: Moderate , Belchertown
Tract 25015820206 · Hampshire County, MA · pop 3,842 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 4.2/10, tract 25015820206 in the Pine Valley Plantation area of Belchertown, MA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. around two-thirds of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Hampshire County average of 46.3%.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,627
Renter share9.2%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$106,685
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
15
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Belchertown and the region
Centroid at 42.2601, -72.4123 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pine Valley Plantation scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Belchertown
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,278 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Belchertown
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Belchertown
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Belchertown
7.2
How Pine Valley Plantation compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.1%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.1%Food insecurity
- 11.3%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 3.7%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 27.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pine Valley Plantation
31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The main counterweight is court filing pressure at 0.6/10.
At $1,278 a month, rents run 32% over what the rest of Belchertown commands. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.9/10.
It sits 1.4 points below the Hampshire County average of 5.6. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally.
Adults with no health insurance runs 3.7% against 11.3% nationally. Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $106,685, annual rent is just 14%.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25015820206
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25015820206?
Census tract 25015820206 in the Pine Valley Plantation neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25015820206?
Median gross rent is $1,278/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25015820206?
11.2% of residents in tract 25015820206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,842.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25015820206?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 21th, minority 15th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 25015820206 considered part of Pine Valley Plantation?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25015820206 fall within Pine Valley Plantation (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25015820206 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25015820206 compare to Belchertown overall?
Tract 25015820206 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Belchertown at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Belchertown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Belchertown
Top eight tracts in Belchertown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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