Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Pine Valley Plantation Eviction Risk: Moderate , Belchertown
Tract 25015820206 · Hampshire County, MA · pop 3,842 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
How risky is Pine Valley Plantation in Belchertown for landlords? Census tract 25015820206 scores 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #39,295 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 64% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,278 a month while the average household earns $106,685 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 9% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,627
Renter share9.2%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$106,685
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Belchertown and the region
Centroid at 42.2601, -72.4123 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pine Valley Plantation scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Belchertown
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,278 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Belchertown
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Belchertown
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Belchertown
7.2
How Pine Valley Plantation compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.1%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.1%Food insecurity
- 11.3%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 3.7%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 27.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pine Valley Plantation
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Belchertown, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hampshire County average of 4.9 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 25015820206
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25015820206?
Census tract 25015820206 in the Pine Valley Plantation neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25015820206?
Median gross rent is $1,278/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25015820206?
11.2% of residents in tract 25015820206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,842.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25015820206?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 21th, minority 15th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 25015820206 considered part of Pine Valley Plantation?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25015820206 fall within Pine Valley Plantation (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25015820206 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25015820206 compare to Belchertown overall?
Tract 25015820206 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Belchertown at 5.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Belchertown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Belchertown
Top eight tracts in Belchertown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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