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Neighborhood · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally

Hayward Corner Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 25017313101 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 7,022 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Here is how census tract 25017313101, in Hayward Corner in Middlesex, looks to a landlord: a 4.9/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 7,022. That is riskier than about 35% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 65% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,789 a month against an average household income of $163,802 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. Renters make up 14% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 5% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units2,285
Renter share14.0%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$163,802

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Hayward Corner
Moderate
Within county
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#270 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Low
Within state
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#1,345 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very Low
National
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#78,212 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middlesex County and the region

Centroid at 42.6590, -71.4519 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hayward Corner scores 1.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,789 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Hayward Corner compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hayward Corner risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.61.6This tracttract 313101County: 2.72.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 84Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 8.24%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.2%Peak (2015)
  • 12Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 250173131012012: 12 filings (6.32/100 renter HHs)2013: 11 filings (5.79/100 renter HHs)2014: 24 filings (12.63/100 renter HHs)2015: 25 filings (13.16/100 renter HHs)2016: 12 filings (3.31/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hayward Corner

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Massachusetts eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017313101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017313101?

Census tract 25017313101 in the Hayward Corner neighborhood scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017313101?

Median gross rent is $1,789/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017313101?

2.5% of residents in tract 25017313101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,022.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017313101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 40th, minority 36th, housing 33th.
Q5

Is tract 25017313101 considered part of Hayward Corner?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017313101 fall within Hayward Corner (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017313101?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 84 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017313101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.24% of renter households, peaking at 13.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25017313101 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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