Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally
Larchwood Eviction Risk: High , Cambridge
Tract 25017354300 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,439 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 8.3/10, tract 25017354300 in the Larchwood area of Cambridge, MA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,439 residents. The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,624
Renter share56.0%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$149,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cambridge and the region
Centroid at 42.3831, -71.1471 · click any tract to drill in
Why Larchwood scores 8.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cambridge
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,589 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cambridge
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cambridge
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cambridge
8.0
How Larchwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 9%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 25%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 147Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.11%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.1%Peak (2014)
- 15Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 53% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.7%Food insecurity
- 8.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 3.2%No health insurance
- 13.4%Frequent mental distress
- 23.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Larchwood
Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8.5/10. Against Middlesex County at 43.0%, 36% of renters here are cost-burdened. Food insecurity runs 7.7% against 17.8% nationally.
The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The filing record is not thin: 147 evictions over 5 years of observation. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.2% against 11.3% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2014, when 5.1% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 3.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017354300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017354300?
Census tract 25017354300 in the Larchwood neighborhood scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017354300?
Median gross rent is $2,589/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017354300?
6.2% of residents in tract 25017354300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,439.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017354300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 5th, minority 50th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 25017354300 considered part of Larchwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017354300 fall within Larchwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017354300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 147 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017354300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.11% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25017354300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25017354300 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25017354300 compare to Cambridge overall?
Tract 25017354300 scores 8.3/10, lower than the parent city of Cambridge at 8.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cambridge eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25017354300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cambridge
Top eight tracts in Cambridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Harlow Square
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Inman Square
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Huron Village
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Central Square
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Harlow Square
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
West Somerville
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Harvard Yard
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Brickbottom
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
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