Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Shirley Center Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 25017388200 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 7,092 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
25017388200 is a census tract in the Shirley Center Historic District area of Shirley, MA. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 7,092. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,404
Renter share17.7%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$121,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shirley and the region
Centroid at 42.5737, -71.6410 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shirley Center Historic District scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shirley
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,189 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shirley
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shirley
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shirley
4.0
How Shirley Center Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 154Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.4%Peak (2014)
- 17Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 47% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.8%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.8%Food insecurity
- 11.9%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 5.4%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 26.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shirley Center Historic District
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. At $1,189 a month, rents run 21% over what the rest of Shirley commands.
Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 154 evictions over 5 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 7.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $121,875, annual rent is just 12%.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017388200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017388200?
Census tract 25017388200 in the Shirley Center Historic District neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017388200?
Median gross rent is $1,189/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017388200?
2.1% of residents in tract 25017388200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,092.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017388200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 31th, minority 31th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 25017388200 considered part of Shirley Center Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017388200 fall within Shirley Center Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017388200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 154 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017388200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.25% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25017388200 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25017388200 compare to Shirley overall?
Tract 25017388200 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Shirley at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shirley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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