Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally
Packard's Corner Eviction Risk: High , Brookline
Tract 25021400202 · Norfolk County, MA · pop 3,741 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 25021400202 sits in the Packard's Corner area of Brookline eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.5/10. Population here is 3,741. 69% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Norfolk County average of 48.1%.
Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,463
Renter share75.7%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate26.5%
Median income$93,702
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Brookline and the region
Centroid at 42.3490, -71.1198 · click any tract to drill in
Why Packard's Corner scores 8.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Brookline
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
26.5% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$3,002 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brookline
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brookline
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brookline
5.5
How Packard's Corner compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 43%Grade B
- 54%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Packard's Corner. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.0%Food insecurity
- 12.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 3.8%No health insurance
- 16.9%Frequent mental distress
- 22.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Packard's Corner
The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Norfolk County average of 5.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.9 points. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10.
Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $93,702, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. This is renter territory: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10.
The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.8% against 11.3% nationally. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Brookline. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 2.3 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 25021400202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25021400202?
Census tract 25021400202 in the Packard's Corner neighborhood scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25021400202?
Median gross rent is $3,002/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25021400202?
26.5% of residents in tract 25021400202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,741.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25021400202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 36th, minority 48th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 25021400202 considered part of Packard's Corner?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25021400202 fall within Packard's Corner (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25021400202 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25021400202 compare to Brookline overall?
Tract 25021400202 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Brookline at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brookline eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 25021400202 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Brookline
Top eight tracts in Brookline ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Brookline Village
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Corey Hill
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Audubon Circle
8.4
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Pill Hill
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Brookline Village
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Coolidge Corner
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Packard's Corner
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Putterham
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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