Downtown Crossing Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston

The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. At $2,818 a month, rents run 31% over what the rest of Boston commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. It sits 1.2 points below the Suffolk County average of 7.9. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 12 filings here across 5 tracked years.

Housing insecurity runs 5.8% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filings peaked in 2013 at 0.6% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 0.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.