Fitchburg Eviction Risk: Elevated

SNAP participation runs 43.3% against 15.2% nationally. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.8/10. 99% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

The poverty rate is 39%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

It sits 1.9 points above the Worcester County average of 5.8. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Disability prevalence runs 44.0% against 31.5% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 57 evictions over 1 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2015, when 7.0% of renter households were served.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.