Worcester County, Massachusetts Eviction Risk: Elevated
35 incorporated cities and unincorporated areas. The county Eviction Risk Score is held aloft by the city of Worcester (6.4) and a small number of dense urban cores. Rent-control coverage varies by city.
Ranked #3 of 14 MA counties
462k residents · 35 cities · 191 tracts
Worcester County eviction risk score history
Key metrics
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Tenant beats landlord55.2%/ 100 outcomesIn court-decided eviction outcomes for Worcester County, MA, tenants prevail in roughly 55.2% of contested cases. A higher number means landlords face stronger tenant defenses and longer calendars.
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Timeline197dfiling → judgmentFrom the moment an unlawful-detainer notice is filed in Worcester County, MA until a money judgment is entered, a contested eviction takes about 197 days on average. Longer timelines mean more lost rent for landlords.
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Cost range$12.3–28.1klegal + lost rentA typical eviction in Worcester County, MA costs landlords $12,313 to $28,067 all-in, covering court filing fees, process-server costs, attorney time, and lost rent.
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Average rent$1,40331% stretched on rentAverage gross rent in Worcester County, MA is $1,403 per month per the U.S. Census American Community Survey. 31% of renter households here spend more than 30% of pre-tax income on rent.
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Renters47.7%of households47.7% of occupied housing units in Worcester County, MA are renter-occupied. A higher renter share usually correlates with more eviction filings and a more active rental market.
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Poverty15.4%6.3% unemp.15.4% of Worcester County, MA residents live below the federal poverty line, and unemployment runs at 6.3%. Both feed the economic-stress sub-score in our Eviction Risk Score model.
Scrub 50 years
Worcester County averages 6.4/10 across 35 cities, ranging from a low of 4 to a high of 7.1 in Fitchburg and Webster. Ranked 4th riskiest of 14 Massachusetts counties.
How Worcester County ranks in Massachusetts
Landlord guides for Massachusetts
| City↕ | Population↕ | Risk↕ | % income on rent↕ | Average rent↕ | Lean↕ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | Worcester | 207,055 | 6.4 | 32.0% | $1,487 | Dem |
| 002 | Leominster | 43,909 | 5.8 | 29.6% | $1,354 | Dem |
| 003 | Fitchburg | 41,798 | 6.1 | 29.9% | $1,222 | Dem |
| 004 | Milford | 27,731 | 6.0 | 32.3% | $1,889 | Dem |
| 005 | Gardner | 21,148 | 5.8 | 29.9% | $1,109 | Dem |
| 006 | Southbridge Town | 17,928 | 5.9 | 34.1% | $1,256 | Dem |
| 007 | Webster | 12,228 | 6.3 | 28.5% | $1,198 | Dem |
| 008 | Athol | 8,801 | 6.4 | 36.1% | $1,120 | Dem |
| 009 | Clinton | 7,658 | 5.8 | 30.2% | $1,415 | Dem |
| 010 | Whitinsville | 7,115 | 6.1 | 30.0% | $1,197 | Dem |
| 011 | Northborough | 6,392 | 5.7 | 27.6% | $1,135 | Dem |
| 012 | Oxford | 5,671 | 5.5 | 31.0% | $1,203 | Dem |
| 013 | Spencer | 5,661 | 6.0 | 31.6% | $1,049 | Dem |
| 014 | Westborough | 4,699 | 5.6 | 24.6% | $1,627 | Dem |
| 015 | Hopedale | 4,360 | 5.7 | 29.6% | $1,805 | Dem |
| 016 | Winchendon | 4,331 | 6.1 | 35.1% | $1,163 | Dem |
| 017 | Upton | 3,234 | 5.8 | 31.5% | $939 | Dem |
| 018 | Cordaville | 2,989 | 5.6 | 23.3% | $1,844 | Dem |
| 019 | East Douglas | 2,987 | 5.4 | 25.4% | $1,458 | Dem |
| 020 | North Brookfield | 2,659 | 5.7 | 31.4% | $993 | Dem |
| 021 | Baldwinville | 2,528 | 6.3 | 51.0% | $786 | Dem |
| 022 | Sturbridge | 2,443 | 5.2 | 25.3% | $2,009 | Dem |
| 023 | Fiskdale | 2,311 | 6.0 | 30.7% | $1,027 | Dem |
| 024 | South Lancaster | 2,177 | 6.2 | 37.6% | $1,893 | Dem |
| 025 | Lunenburg | 2,057 | 5.4 | 31.1% | $1,652 | Dem |
| 026 | Rutland | 2,019 | 5.8 | 32.1% | $1,061 | Dem |
| 027 | Devens | 1,723 | 5.9 | 51.0% | $1,500 | Dem |
| 028 | West Brookfield | 1,563 | 6.0 | 23.5% | $1,128 | Dem |
| 029 | South Ashburnham | 1,500 | 5.6 | 66.3% | $1,367 | Dem |
| 030 | East Brookfield | 1,445 | 5.4 | 20.0% | $1,134 | Dem |
| 031 | Warren | 1,426 | 6.2 | 26.4% | $720 | Dem |
| 032 | Brookfield | 828 | 6.2 | 34.6% | $1,237 | Dem |
| 033 | Barre | 673 | 5.5 | 51.0% | $1,864 | Dem |
| 034 | West Warren | 613 | 6.0 | 18.8% | $844 | Dem |
| 035 | Petersham | 312 | 5.5 | 20.8% | $1,583 | Dem |
County heatmap
Neighborhoods in Worcester County
Top 18 neighborhoods by population. Click for a pop-weighted risk score and the constituent census tracts.
One county, multiple regulatory regimes.
Worcester County carries an average eviction-risk score of 6.4/10, placing it in the Elevated tier and ranking it 4th of 14 counties in Massachusetts, meaning only 3 counties in the state present more risk to landlords. Spread across 35 cities and towns, the county's 47.7% average renter share and a 31.4% average rent burden signal a tenant population that is structurally stretched, which historically correlates with higher rates of nonpayment and contested evictions. Investors entering Worcester County should expect operating conditions that demand attentive lease enforcement and solid reserves.
The county-wide score masks meaningful local variation. Risk scores across Worcester County's cities range from 6.4/10 on the low end to 7.1/10 at the top, a spread that is wide enough to make city selection one of the most consequential decisions a landlord can make before acquiring a property here. Average asking rents average $1,403 per month, but the cost of a single contested eviction can quickly dwarf months of rent collected, so understanding which submarkets carry elevated exposure is essential.
The cities inside Worcester County
The highest-risk cities in the county are Fitchburg (population 41,798, score 6.1/10) and Webster (population 12,228, score 6.3/10), both sitting at the county ceiling. Athol follows at 6.4/10, and Worcester itself, the county seat with a population of 207,055, posts a 6.9/10, reflecting the pressures common to a large urban rental market. Gardner (5.8/10) and Southbridge Town (5.9/10) are also meaningfully above the county average, suggesting that smaller gateway cities in Worcester County carry more landlord risk than their size might imply.
On the lower end of the range, Milford scores 6/10 and Leominster comes in at 5.8/10, both meaningfully below the county average, offering comparatively more stable operating conditions. The breadth between a 4/10 floor and a 7.1/10 ceiling makes this point concrete: risk is hyper-local inside Worcester County, and a street-level score check before acquisition is not optional.
State-level laws that apply here
Every landlord in Worcester County operates under M.G.L. c. 186 (Estates for Years and at Will). Massachusetts eviction laws law sets the nonpayment notice period at 14 days under M.G.L. c. 186 § 11 (tenancy at will) and § 11A (fixed-term lease), while a no-cause termination of a tenancy at will requires 30 days notice under § 12. A material lease violation triggers only a 7-day cure notice. For anyone studying the Massachusetts eviction process, these notice windows are just the start: an uncontested case runs 30 to 60 days from filing to possession, and a contested case can stretch 90 to 180 days. Court filing fees run $195 to $295, sheriff lockout fees add $75 to $200, and attorney fees typically range from $750 to $3,500, making Massachusetts eviction costs a genuinely material line item in any landlord's underwriting.
Massachusetts eviction laws does not require just cause to terminate a tenancy at will, and there is no statewide rent cap formula in effect, which are meaningful protections for landlords. However, source of income is a protected class under state fair housing law, enforced by the Massachusetts eviction laws Commission Against Discrimination, and the retaliation statute (M.G.L. c. 186 § 18) carries real teeth, so self-help remedies and informal pressure tactics carry significant legal exposure.
With an average poverty rate of 15.4% across the county, the financial fragility underlying Worcester County's 6.4/10 Elevated score is not abstract, and the city grid above shows exactly where that pressure concentrates, giving landlords a direct way to compare submarkets before committing capital.
Historical eviction filings in Worcester County
From 2002 to 2016, eviction filings in Worcester County increased 38%. The peak was 5,721 filings in 2011.1
- 3,8952002
- 5,721Peak (2011)
- 5,3842016
Data covers 2000–2018, the full span of the Princeton Eviction Lab's national county court-records dataset.
How Worcester County compares
Worcester County scores 6.4/10 (Elevated), placing it 4th riskiest of 14 Massachusetts counties. Only Suffolk County (6.73) and Hampden County (7.12) clearly exceed it, while close peers Bristol County (6.41), Essex County (6.4), and Plymouth County (6.38) all score marginally lower, confirming Worcester County sits in the higher-risk third of the state.
Among these peer counties, Worcester County's intra-county spread of 5.2 to 6.4 is notable: landlords who select lower-scoring cities within the county can operate well below the county average, while those concentrated in Fitchburg or Webster face risk on par with the state's most challenging markets.