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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

Burton Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 26049011401 · Genesee County, MI · pop 3,315 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 4.3/10, tract 26049011401 in the Burton area of Burton, MI reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,315 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.7/10.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 23% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,338
Renter share41.6%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate13.8%
Median income$53,073

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Burton
Very Low
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 8 tracts In Burton
Moderate
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#68 of 134 tracts In Genesee County
Moderate
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#1,184 of 2,972 tracts In Michigan
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Burton and the region

Centroid at 42.9727, -83.6350 · click any tract to drill in

Why Burton scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Burton
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
13.8% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,262 rent vs county FMR
7.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burton
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burton
7.3

How Burton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Burton risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.3This tracttract 0114014.0Burtonparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Burton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Burton

The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The voucher gap is 28.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

At $1,262 a month, rents run 25% over what the rest of Burton commands. Running hot, supply constraint reads 7.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10.

SNAP participation runs 23.9% against 15.2% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 45% of renters.

It tracks the Genesee County average of 4.3 closely. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $53,073. 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 26049011401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26049011401?

Census tract 26049011401 in the Burton neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 26049011401?

Median gross rent is $1,262/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 26049011401?

13.8% of residents in tract 26049011401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,315.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 26049011401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 66th, minority 52th, housing 64th.
Q5

Is tract 26049011401 considered part of Burton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26049011401 fall within Burton (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 26049011401 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 26049011401 compare to Burton overall?

Tract 26049011401 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Burton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 26049011401 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 9% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Burton

Top eight tracts in Burton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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