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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Detroit

Tract 26163519100 · Wayne County, MI · pop 1,085 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

The Forest Park area of Detroit is where census tract 26163519100 sits, home to 1,085 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,046 monthly, set against $41,667 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 37% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 23% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units418
Renter share36.8%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate33.1%
Median income$41,667

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Forest Park
Moderate
Within parent city
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#173 of 274 tracts In Detroit
Low
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#187 of 625 tracts In Wayne County
Elevated
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#274 of 2,972 tracts In Michigan
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Detroit and the region

Centroid at 42.3714, -83.0400 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Park scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Detroit
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
33.1% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$1,046 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Detroit
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Detroit
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Detroit
6.0

How Forest Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forest Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 519100Detroit: 4.44.4Detroitparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Park

What moves this score most is economic stress at 8.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Detroit eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Wayne County average of 6.4 and above the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 37% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

In CDC survey modeling, about 30.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 26.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 26163519100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26163519100?

Census tract 26163519100 in the Forest Park neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 26163519100?

Median gross rent is $1,046/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 26163519100?

33.1% of residents in tract 26163519100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,085.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 26163519100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 77th, minority 84th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 26163519100 considered part of Forest Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26163519100 fall within Forest Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 26163519100 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 26163519100 compare to Detroit overall?

Tract 26163519100 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Detroit at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Detroit eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 26163519100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 37% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Detroit

Top eight tracts in Detroit ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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