Midwest Eviction Risk: Elevated , Detroit

Against Wayne County at 46.6%, 77% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 33.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The poverty rate is 53%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10.

Disability prevalence runs 48.6% against 31.5% nationally. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $34,454, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against the Wayne County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Average gross rent is $962, 10% below the Detroit average.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Detroit. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10.

Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.