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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally

Northdale Eviction Risk: Lower , Coon Rapids

Tract 27003050808 · Anoka County, MN · pop 2,096 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 27003050808 runs through the Northdale area of Coon Rapids. With 2,096 residents, it scores 5.5/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 57% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 56% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,229 a month against an average household income of $65,667 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 17% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 7% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units834
Renter share16.9%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$65,667

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Northdale
Very High
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 17 tracts In Coon Rapids
High
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 90 tracts In Anoka County
Elevated
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#921 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Coon Rapids and the region

Centroid at 45.1635, -93.2598 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northdale scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Coon Rapids
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,229 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Coon Rapids
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Coon Rapids
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Coon Rapids
4.7

How Northdale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Northdale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.72.7This tracttract 050808Coon Rapids: 4.94.9Coon Rapidsparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 49Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 7.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.4%Peak (2012)
  • 21Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270030508082009: 8 filings (5.06/100 renter HHs)2010: 14 filings (8.38/100 renter HHs)2011: 6 filings (4.11/100 renter HHs)2012: 21 filings (14.38/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 163% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Northdale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northdale

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 5.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Coon Rapids eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Anoka County average of 5.3 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27003050808

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27003050808?

Census tract 27003050808 in the Northdale neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27003050808?

Median gross rent is $1,229/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27003050808?

9.3% of residents in tract 27003050808 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,096.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27003050808?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 60th, minority 22th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 27003050808 considered part of Northdale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27003050808 fall within Northdale (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27003050808?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 49 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27003050808 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.98% of renter households, peaking at 14.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27003050808 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27003050808 compare to Coon Rapids overall?

Tract 27003050808 scores 2.7/10, lower than the parent city of Coon Rapids at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Coon Rapids eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Coon Rapids

Top eight tracts in Coon Rapids ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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