Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally
Bryant Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis
Tract 27053009500 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,306 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 27053009500 covers part of the Bryant area of Minneapolis, MN, and scores 6.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,012
Renter share37.3%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$76,458
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9342, -93.2650 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bryant scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,351 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Bryant compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 99%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 171Total filings over 5 yrs
- 6.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.1%Peak (2009)
- 23Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 56% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 64Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.71×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bryant. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.7%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.2%Food insecurity
- 10.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 24.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bryant
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Against the Hennepin County average of 5.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points.
The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.9/10. The filing record is not thin: 171 evictions over 5 years of observation.
38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Hennepin County average of 43.1%. The worst year on record was 2009, when 10.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Minneapolis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 6.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053009500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053009500?
Census tract 27053009500 in the Bryant neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053009500?
Median gross rent is $1,351/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053009500?
7.4% of residents in tract 27053009500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,306.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053009500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 18th, minority 71th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 27053009500 considered part of Bryant?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053009500 fall within Bryant (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053009500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 171 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053009500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.84% of renter households, peaking at 10.1% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053009500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053009500 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053009500 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053009500 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053009500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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