Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Louis Park
Tract 27053022801 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 2,522 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Here is how census tract 27053022801, in the Lake Forest area of St. Louis Park, looks to a landlord: a 4.4/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 2,522. That is riskier than about 20% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 20% of renter households, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,167 a month against an average household income of $166,613 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 3% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units918
Renter share3.3%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate1.3%
Median income$166,613
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis Park and the region
Centroid at 44.9568, -93.3372 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Forest scores 2.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis Park
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
1.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,167 rent vs county FMR
7.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis Park
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis Park
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis Park
4.1
How Lake Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 23%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 8Total filings over 4 yrs
- 7.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.7%Peak (2012)
- 1Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 4Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.07×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.5%Housing insecurity
- 2.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.4%Food insecurity
- 2.4%SNAP enrollment
- 3.4%Transit barriers
- 3.8%No health insurance
- 11.2%Frequent mental distress
- 18.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Forest
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Louis Park eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and below the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 8 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 8.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.7% of renter households in 2012.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053022801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053022801?
Census tract 27053022801 in the Lake Forest neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053022801?
Median gross rent is $2,167/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053022801?
1.3% of residents in tract 27053022801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,522.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053022801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 30th, minority 23th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 27053022801 considered part of Lake Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053022801 fall within Lake Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053022801?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27053022801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.97% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053022801 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.07× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053022801 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053022801 compare to St. Louis Park overall?
Tract 27053022801 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of St. Louis Park at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis Park eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis Park
Top eight tracts in St. Louis Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Aquila
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Blackstone
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Triangle
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Pennsylvania Park
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Minnehaha
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Birchwood
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Wolfe Park
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Eliot
3.6
/ 10 · Low
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