Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Louis Park
Tract 27053022801 ·
Hennepin County, MN · pop 2,522 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 27053022801 in the Lake Forest area of St. Louis Park, MN reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,522 residents. Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, 20% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%Stable renters 3%Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units918
Renter share3.3%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate1.3%
Median income$166,613
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Lake Forest
Moderate
Within parent city
29th percentile
#11 of 15 tracts In St. Louis Park
Low
Within county
22th percentile
#258 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
Low
Within state
18th percentile
#1,230 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis Park and the region
Centroid at 44.9568, -93.3372 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Forest scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Louis Park
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
1.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,167 rent vs county FMR
7.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis Park
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis Park
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis Park
4.1
How Lake Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
3%Socioeconomic
30%Household composition
23%Racial/ethnic minority
3%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
8Total filings over 4 yrs
7.97%Avg annual filing rate
9.7%Peak (2012)
1Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year2009 to 2013
Filings dropped 50% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
4Total filings 2020-21
0.1Avg monthly (observed)
0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
1.07×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
4.5%Housing insecurity
2.6%Utility-shutoff threat
4.4%Food insecurity
2.4%SNAP enrollment
3.4%Transit barriers
3.8%No health insurance
11.2%Frequent mental distress
18.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Forest
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. It sits 2.1 points below the Hennepin County average of 5.1.
Average gross rent is $2,167, 32% above the St. Louis Park average. The voucher gap is 28.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.9/10. Food insecurity runs 4.4% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 2.4% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.4/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 8 filings here across 4 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 9.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.0% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053022801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053022801?
Census tract 27053022801 in the Lake Forest neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053022801?
Median gross rent is $2,167/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053022801?
1.3% of residents in tract 27053022801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,522.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053022801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 30th, minority 23th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 27053022801 considered part of Lake Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053022801 fall within Lake Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053022801?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27053022801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.97% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053022801 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.07× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053022801 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053022801 compare to St. Louis Park overall?
Tract 27053022801 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of St. Louis Park at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis Park eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis Park
Top eight tracts in St. Louis Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.