Lake Forest Eviction Risk: Lower

At $2,167 a month, rents sit 32% over what the rest of St. Louis Park commands. The voucher gap is 28.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Running hot is supply constraint at 7.9/10.

Cost burden runs about one in five against 26.2% citywide, putting Lake Forest 6.2% under its own city. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 4.5% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 8 evictions logged in this tract.

3.8% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. The worst year on record was 2012, when filings touched 9.7% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 3.2% in 2013, is well off that peak.

That places it #9 of 12 neighborhoods in St. Louis Park. Only 3% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

For a like-for-like read, Brooklawns and Lenox score within a fraction of it. Rent takes 16% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.