Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally
Promenade Eviction Risk: Lower , Richfield
Tract 27053024200 ·
Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,182 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
For landlords sizing up the Promenade area of Richfield, census tract 27053024200 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. On the national scale it ranks #60,078 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 24% of renter households, a moderate level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,868 a month against an average household income of $135,119 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%Stable renters 8%Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,356
Renter share10.3%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$135,119
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Promenade
Moderate
Within parent city
0th percentile
#11 of 11 tracts In Richfield
Very Low
Within county
20th percentile
#263 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
Low
Within state
17th percentile
#1,243 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richfield and the region
Centroid at 44.8774, -93.3079 · click any tract to drill in
Why Promenade scores 1.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richfield
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,868 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richfield
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richfield
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richfield
4.4
How Promenade compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
11%Socioeconomic
33%Household composition
25%Racial/ethnic minority
24%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
37Total filings over 5 yrs
5.46%Avg annual filing rate
7.3%Peak (2011)
4Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year2009 to 2013
Filings dropped 43% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
13Total filings 2020-21
0.2Avg monthly (observed)
0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
1.16×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.8%Housing insecurity
3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
6.9%Food insecurity
4.1%SNAP enrollment
4.8%Transit barriers
5.8%No health insurance
13.0%Frequent mental distress
21.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Promenade
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.16x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 37 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 5.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.3% of renter households in 2011.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053024200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053024200?
Census tract 27053024200 in the Promenade neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053024200?
Median gross rent is $1,868/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053024200?
2.7% of residents in tract 27053024200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,182.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053024200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 33th, minority 25th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 27053024200 considered part of Promenade?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053024200 fall within Promenade (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053024200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 37 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053024200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.46% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053024200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.16× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053024200 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053024200 compare to Richfield overall?
Tract 27053024200 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Richfield at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Richfield
Top eight tracts in Richfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.