Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Long Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27053027202 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 1,712
27053027202 is a census tract in Long Lake, MN. It scores 4.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,712 residents. The severe-burden share is 48%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units675
Renter share31.0%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$95,972
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
National
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Long Lake and the region
Centroid at 44.9832, -93.5701 · click any tract to drill in
Why Long Lake scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Long Lake
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,613 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Long Lake
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Long Lake
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Long Lake
7.0
How Long Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 26Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.6%Peak (2010)
- 2Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 8Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.37×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.7%Food insecurity
- 5.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 6.6%No health insurance
- 13.5%Frequent mental distress
- 24.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Long Lake
Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, 64% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2/10. SNAP participation runs 5.6% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.4/10.
Food insecurity runs 8.7% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 26 evictions over 5 years of observation.
It sits 0.7 points below the Hennepin County average of 5.1. At $1,613 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Long Lake commands.
The worst year on record was 2010, when 3.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #42,813 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.6/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053027202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053027202?
Census tract 27053027202 in Long Lake scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053027202?
Median gross rent is $1,613/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053027202?
8.0% of residents in tract 27053027202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,712.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053027202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 65th, minority 27th, housing 75th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053027202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 26 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053027202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.20% of renter households, peaking at 3.6% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27053027202 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.37× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27053027202 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27053027202 compare to Long Lake overall?
Tract 27053027202 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Long Lake at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Long Lake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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