Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally
Marshall Terrace Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis
Tract 27053100500 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 1,954 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 27053100500 sits in the Marshall Terrace area of Minneapolis eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.9/10. It is home to 1,954 residents. It sits 2.8 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,060
Renter share42.0%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate14.3%
Median income$58,350
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 45.0259, -93.2709 · click any tract to drill in
Why Marshall Terrace scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
14.3% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,078 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Marshall Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 18%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 72Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.4%Peak (2011)
- 10Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 41% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 82Total filings 2020-21
- 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.52×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.8%Housing insecurity
- 6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.9%Food insecurity
- 9.9%SNAP enrollment
- 8.4%Transit barriers
- 9.9%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 28.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Marshall Terrace
Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.
At $1,078 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Minneapolis commands. Court records carry 72 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2011, when 4.4% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Minneapolis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 3.6% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 3.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $58,350.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053100500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053100500?
Census tract 27053100500 in the Marshall Terrace neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053100500?
Median gross rent is $1,078/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053100500?
14.3% of residents in tract 27053100500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,954.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053100500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 86th, minority 51th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 27053100500 considered part of Marshall Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053100500 fall within Marshall Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053100500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 72 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053100500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.63% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053100500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.52× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053100500 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053100500 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053100500 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053100500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 18% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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