Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally
Sherwood Park Neighborhood Eviction Risk: Elevated , Maplewood
Tract 27123030703 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 4,563 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
27123030703 is a census tract in the Sherwood Park Neighborhood area of St. Paul, MN. It scores 7.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,563. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,489
Renter share27.6%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate15.1%
Median income$73,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Maplewood and the region
Centroid at 44.9888, -93.0342 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sherwood Park Neighborhood scores 7.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Maplewood
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
15.1% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,030 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Maplewood
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Maplewood
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Maplewood
7.5
How Sherwood Park Neighborhood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 165Total filings over 7 yrs
- 5.46%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.0%Peak (2012)
- 21Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 32% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 85Total filings 2020-21
- 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.76×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sherwood Park Neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.8%Housing insecurity
- 9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.2%Food insecurity
- 16.3%SNAP enrollment
- 12.6%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 31.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sherwood Park Neighborhood
35% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Ramsey County average of 47.3%. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.1/10.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
It sits 1.5 points above the Ramsey County average of 5.6. Average gross rent is $1,030, 20% below the St. Paul average.
The filing record is not thin: 165 evictions over 7 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 25.2% against 17.8% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 8.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 85th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $73,750, annual rent is just 17%.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123030703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123030703?
Census tract 27123030703 in the Sherwood Park Neighborhood neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123030703?
Median gross rent is $1,030/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123030703?
15.1% of residents in tract 27123030703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,563.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123030703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 58th, minority 72th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 27123030703 considered part of Sherwood Park Neighborhood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123030703 fall within Sherwood Park Neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123030703?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 165 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123030703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.46% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123030703 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.76× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123030703 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123030703 compare to Maplewood overall?
Tract 27123030703 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Maplewood at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Maplewood eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Maplewood
Top eight tracts in Maplewood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Eastview
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Snelling - Hamline
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
North End
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Payne - Phalen
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
South Saint Anthony Park
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Iris Park
7.9
/ 10 · High
Related
Explore the geography around tract 27123030703
Parent city ↑
Maplewood
4.3 / 10
Parent county ↑
Ramsey County
Parent state ↑
Minnesota
Sibling tract →
Sherwood Park Neighborhood
4.3 / 10
Sibling tract →
Sherwood Park Neighborhood
4.3 / 10
Sibling tract →
Sherwood Park Neighborhood
3.2 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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