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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

Sherwood Park Neighborhood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Maplewood

Tract 27123042402 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 6,241 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 4.3/10, tract 27123042402 in the Sherwood Park Neighborhood area of Maplewood, MN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 2/10.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 14% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units2,264
Renter share27.7%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate12.5%
Median income$86,389

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Sherwood Park Neighborhood
Moderate
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 9 tracts In Maplewood
Elevated
Within county
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#100 of 143 tracts In Ramsey County
Low
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#648 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Maplewood and the region

Centroid at 44.9954, -93.0101 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sherwood Park Neighborhood scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Maplewood
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
12.5% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,182 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Maplewood
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Maplewood
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Maplewood
6.1

How Sherwood Park Neighborhood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sherwood Park Neighborhood risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.3This tracttract 0424024.3Maplewoodparent city5.6Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 280Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 6.67%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.9%Peak (2009)
  • 35Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27123042402
Filings dropped 48% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 251Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.34×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sherwood Park Neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sherwood Park Neighborhood

Against the Ramsey County average of 5.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. At $1,182 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Maplewood commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 280 filings here across 7 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2009 at 13.9% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Paul. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 6.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 6.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $86,389, annual rent is just 16%.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for roughly one in two of renters.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 27123042402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123042402?

Census tract 27123042402 in the Sherwood Park Neighborhood neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27123042402?

Median gross rent is $1,182/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27123042402?

12.5% of residents in tract 27123042402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,241.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27123042402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 78th, minority 55th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 27123042402 considered part of Sherwood Park Neighborhood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123042402 fall within Sherwood Park Neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123042402?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 280 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123042402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.67% of renter households, peaking at 13.9% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 27123042402 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.34× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 27123042402 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 27123042402 compare to Maplewood overall?

Tract 27123042402 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Maplewood at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Maplewood eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 27123042402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Maplewood

Top eight tracts in Maplewood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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