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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally

Iris Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , St. Paul

Tract 27123032000 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 2,717 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 27123032000 sits in the Iris Park area of St. Paul, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 14% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,246
Renter share27.7%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate13.9%
Median income$85,068

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Iris Park
Moderate
Within parent city
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#45 of 85 tracts In St. Paul
Moderate
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 143 tracts In Ramsey County
Elevated
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#136 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Paul and the region

Centroid at 44.9627, -93.1755 · click any tract to drill in

Why Iris Park scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
13.9% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,103 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5

How Iris Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Iris Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.7This tracttract 0320006.5St. Paulparent city5.6Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 221Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 6.20%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.9%Peak (2012)
  • 28Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27123032000
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 88Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.61×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Iris Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Iris Park

Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Ramsey County average of 5.6.

The filing record is not thin: 221 evictions over 7 years of observation. At $1,103 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of St. Paul commands. The worst year on record was 2012, when 6.9% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Paul. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 83rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 27123032000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123032000?

Census tract 27123032000 in the Iris Park neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27123032000?

Median gross rent is $1,103/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27123032000?

13.9% of residents in tract 27123032000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,717.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27123032000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 39th, minority 19th, housing 32th.
Q5

Is tract 27123032000 considered part of Iris Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123032000 fall within Iris Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123032000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 221 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123032000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.20% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 27123032000 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.61× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 27123032000 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 27123032000 compare to St. Paul overall?

Tract 27123032000 scores 6.7/10, right in line with the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 27123032000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul

Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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