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Census Tract · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally

Shoreview Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27123040704 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 5,324

Eviction risk in Shoreview eviction risk centers on tract 27123040704, which scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 5,324 residents. On the national scale it ranks #33,104 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

46% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,454 a month while the average household earns $80,488 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 24% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,408
Renter share44.1%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$80,488

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Shoreview
Very High
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#112 of 143 tracts In Ramsey County
Low
Within state
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#863 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Moderate
National
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#60,063 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Shoreview and the region

Centroid at 45.0487, -93.1245 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shoreview scores 2.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Shoreview
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,454 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shoreview
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shoreview
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shoreview
5.0

How Shoreview compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shoreview risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.92.9This tracttract 040704Shoreview: 5.05.0Shoreviewparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 173Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 2.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.7%Peak (2013)
  • 10Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 271230407042009: 23 filings (3.04/100 renter HHs)2010: 27 filings (3.16/100 renter HHs)2011: 35 filings (3.50/100 renter HHs)2012: 20 filings (2.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 37 filings (3.70/100 renter HHs)2014: 21 filings (2.10/100 renter HHs)2015: 10 filings (1.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 57% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 163Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.65×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-02-01: 4 filings (1.89× baseline)2020-03-01: 4 filings (2.90× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.62× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.89× baseline)2021-08-01: 5 filings (4.46× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2021-10-01: 4 filings (2.47× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (0.94× baseline)2022-03-01: 3 filings (2.17× baseline)2022-04-01: 5 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (1.45× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (0.89× baseline)2022-08-01: 2 filings (1.79× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-10-01: 2 filings (1.23× baseline)2022-11-01: 2 filings (2.27× baseline)2022-12-01: 3 filings (3.41× baseline)2023-01-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 3 filings (1.42× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-05-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-06-01: 3 filings (2.17× baseline)2023-07-01: 5 filings (4.46× baseline)2023-08-01: 4 filings (3.57× baseline)2023-09-01: 5 filings (2.86× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (1.23× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (1.14× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (1.14× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-02-01: 5 filings (2.36× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-06-01: 8 filings (5.80× baseline)2024-07-01: 5 filings (4.46× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (1.79× baseline)2024-09-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2024-10-01: 6 filings (3.70× baseline)2024-11-01: 4 filings (4.55× baseline)2024-12-01: 3 filings (3.41× baseline)2025-01-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-02-01: 3 filings (1.42× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (2.17× baseline)2025-04-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (0.72× baseline)2025-07-01: 3 filings (2.68× baseline)2025-08-01: 3 filings (2.68× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-10-01: 3 filings (1.85× baseline)2025-11-01: 2 filings (2.27× baseline)2025-12-01: 7 filings (7.95× baseline)2026-01-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shoreview

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shoreview eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 173 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 2.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.7% of renter households in 2013.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.65x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27123040704

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123040704?

Census tract 27123040704 in Shoreview scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27123040704?

Median gross rent is $1,454/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27123040704?

12.3% of residents in tract 27123040704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,324.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27123040704?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 52th, minority 38th, housing 77th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123040704?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 173 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123040704 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.64% of renter households, peaking at 3.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 27123040704 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27123040704 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27123040704 compare to Shoreview overall?

Tract 27123040704 scores 2.9/10, lower than the parent city of Shoreview at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shoreview eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Shoreview

Top eight tracts in Shoreview ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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