Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally
Little Canada Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27123042102 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 5,591
The Moderate-tier score of 5.3/10 for census tract 27123042102 reflects conditions in Little Canada, Minnesota. It lands near the 49th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 35% of renter households, a high level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,465 a month while the average household earns $100,493 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 28% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,909
Renter share28.0%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$100,493
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
20
th percentile
Low
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
National
27
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Little Canada and the region
Centroid at 45.0271, -93.0740 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Canada scores 2.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Little Canada
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,465 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Canada
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Canada
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Canada
6.4
How Little Canada compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 28%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 206Total filings over 7 yrs
- 5.86%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.7%Peak (2011)
- 29Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 198Total filings 2020-21
- 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.30×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.9%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.3%Food insecurity
- 6.6%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 25.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Little Canada
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Little Canada, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.30x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123042102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123042102?
Census tract 27123042102 in Little Canada scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123042102?
Median gross rent is $1,465/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123042102?
5.2% of residents in tract 27123042102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,591.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123042102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 51th, minority 55th, housing 75th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123042102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 206 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123042102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.86% of renter households, peaking at 7.7% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27123042102 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.30× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27123042102 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27123042102 compare to Little Canada overall?
Tract 27123042102 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of Little Canada at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Canada; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Little Canada
Top eight tracts in Little Canada ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related
Explore the geography around tract 27123042102
Parent city ↑
Little Canada
5.3 / 10
Parent county ↑
Ramsey County
Parent state ↑
Minnesota
Sibling tract →
Mid-City Industrial
2.8 / 10
Sibling tract →
Sherwood Park Neighborhood
2.8 / 10
Sibling tract →
Tract 27123041106
2.7 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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