Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Beaver Lake Eviction Risk: Lower , Maplewood
Tract 27123042501 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 5,918 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
The Beaver Lake neighborhood of Maplewood anchors census tract 27123042501, which lands at 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 61st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,238 a month against an average household income of $74,923 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 28% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units2,336
Renter share27.8%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$74,923
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Maplewood and the region
Centroid at 44.9660, -92.9931 · click any tract to drill in
Why Beaver Lake scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Maplewood
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,238 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Maplewood
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Maplewood
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Maplewood
6.1
How Beaver Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 166Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.2%Peak (2009)
- 15Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 57% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 252Total filings 2020-21
- 3.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.56×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.5%Housing insecurity
- 6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.0%Food insecurity
- 9.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.5%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 28.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Beaver Lake
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Maplewood eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.56x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123042501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123042501?
Census tract 27123042501 in the Beaver Lake neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123042501?
Median gross rent is $1,238/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123042501?
12.3% of residents in tract 27123042501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,918.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123042501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 52th, minority 59th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 27123042501 considered part of Beaver Lake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123042501 fall within Beaver Lake (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123042501?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 166 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123042501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.28% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123042501 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.56× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123042501 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123042501 compare to Maplewood overall?
Tract 27123042501 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Maplewood at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Maplewood eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Maplewood
Top eight tracts in Maplewood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27123042202
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Sherwood Park Neighborhood
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Sherwood Park Neighborhood
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
North End
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Sherwood Park Neighborhood
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Battle Creek
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Sherwood Park Neighborhood
2.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Highwood
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Related
Explore the geography around tract 27123042501
Parent city ↑
Maplewood
4.9 / 10
Parent county ↑
Ramsey County
Parent state ↑
Minnesota
Sibling tract →
Tract 27123042202
4.2 / 10
Sibling tract →
Sherwood Park Neighborhood
3.6 / 10
Sibling tract →
Sherwood Park Neighborhood
3.6 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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