Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Beaver Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate , Maplewood
Tract 27123042501 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 5,918 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 27123042501 sits in the Beaver Lake area of Maplewood eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. It is home to 5,918 residents. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units2,336
Renter share27.8%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$74,923
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
34
th percentile
Low
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Maplewood and the region
Centroid at 44.9660, -92.9931 · click any tract to drill in
Why Beaver Lake scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Maplewood
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,238 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Maplewood
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Maplewood
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Maplewood
6.1
How Beaver Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 166Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.2%Peak (2009)
- 15Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 57% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 252Total filings 2020-21
- 3.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.56×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.5%Housing insecurity
- 6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.0%Food insecurity
- 9.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.5%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 28.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Beaver Lake
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 2.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.
It sits 1.0 points below the Ramsey County average of 5.6. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.
The filing record is not thin: 166 evictions over 7 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,238, 12% below the Maplewood average.
The worst year on record was 2009, when 5.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $74,923. 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123042501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123042501?
Census tract 27123042501 in the Beaver Lake neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123042501?
Median gross rent is $1,238/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123042501?
12.3% of residents in tract 27123042501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,918.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123042501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 52th, minority 59th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 27123042501 considered part of Beaver Lake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123042501 fall within Beaver Lake (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123042501?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 166 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123042501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.28% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123042501 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.56× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123042501 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123042501 compare to Maplewood overall?
Tract 27123042501 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Maplewood at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Maplewood eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Maplewood
Top eight tracts in Maplewood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27123042202
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Sherwood Park Neighborhood
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Sherwood Park Neighborhood
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
North End
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Sherwood Park Neighborhood
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Sherwood Park Neighborhood
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Highwood
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Battle Creek
3
/ 10 · Low
Related
Explore the geography around tract 27123042501
Parent city ↑
Maplewood
4.3 / 10
Parent county ↑
Ramsey County
Parent state ↑
Minnesota
Sibling tract →
Tract 27123042202
5.1 / 10
Sibling tract →
Sherwood Park Neighborhood
4.3 / 10
Sibling tract →
Sherwood Park Neighborhood
4.3 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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