Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally
Hills of Spring Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Northfield
Tract 27131070503 · Rice County, MN · pop 3,242 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Hills of Spring Creek in Northfield anchors census tract 27131070503, which lands at 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 23rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 74% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,167 monthly, set against $111,542 in average yearly household income, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 6% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,205
Renter share6.1%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$111,542
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
21
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Northfield and the region
Centroid at 44.4387, -93.1508 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hills of Spring Creek scores 1.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Northfield
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,167 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northfield
3.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northfield
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northfield
3.9
How Hills of Spring Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 11%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 10Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.18%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.7%Peak (2014)
- 3Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.9%Food insecurity
- 3.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.2%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 12.0%Frequent mental distress
- 21.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hills of Spring Creek
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Northfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Rice County average of 4.5 and below the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 10 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 2.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.7% of renter households in 2014.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27131070503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27131070503?
Census tract 27131070503 in the Hills of Spring Creek neighborhood scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27131070503?
Median gross rent is $1,167/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27131070503?
3.2% of residents in tract 27131070503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,242.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27131070503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 18th, minority 11th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 27131070503 considered part of Hills of Spring Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27131070503 fall within Hills of Spring Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27131070503?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27131070503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.18% of renter households, peaking at 3.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27131070503 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27131070503 compare to Northfield overall?
Tract 27131070503 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of Northfield at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Northfield
Top eight tracts in Northfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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