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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Oaklawn Eviction Risk: Lower , Dundas

Tract 27131070504 · Rice County, MN · pop 3,821 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 27131070504 covers part of the Oaklawn area of Northfield, MN, and scores 3.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.6/10.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 25% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,519
Renter share40.8%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$74,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Oaklawn
Very High
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Dundas
Moderate
Within county
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 16 tracts In Rice County
Moderate
Within state
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#809 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dundas and the region

Centroid at 44.4370, -93.1722 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oaklawn scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dundas
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$935 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dundas
3.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dundas
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dundas
3.9

How Oaklawn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oaklawn risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 0705043.5Dundasparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 15Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 0.65%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.9%Peak (2015)
  • 7Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27131070504
Filings dropped 100% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Oaklawn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oaklawn

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.3/10. SNAP participation runs 6.7% against 15.2% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 15 evictions over 3 years of observation. At $935 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Northfield commands.

Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.9/10. Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2015, when 0.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 0.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $74,750, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 40% of renters.

It tracks the Rice County average of 4.2 closely. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 27131070504

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27131070504?

Census tract 27131070504 in the Oaklawn neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27131070504?

Median gross rent is $935/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27131070504?

6.4% of residents in tract 27131070504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,821.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27131070504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 48th, minority 34th, housing 56th.
Q5

Is tract 27131070504 considered part of Oaklawn?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27131070504 fall within Oaklawn (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27131070504?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 15 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27131070504 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.65% of renter households, peaking at 0.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27131070504 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27131070504 compare to Dundas overall?

Tract 27131070504 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Dundas at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dundas; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dundas

Top eight tracts in Dundas ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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