Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Northfield Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27131070601 · Rice County, MN · pop 3,939
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 27131070601 in Northfield, MN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Against Rice County at 43.6%, 18% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,856
Renter share41.0%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate12.6%
Median income$73,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Northfield and the region
Centroid at 44.4639, -93.1665 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northfield scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Northfield
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
12.6% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,060 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northfield
3.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northfield
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northfield
3.9
How Northfield compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 36Total filings over 4 yrs
- 1.46%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.6%Peak (2014)
- 8Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.8%Food insecurity
- 7.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 9.9%No health insurance
- 13.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northfield
Pulling hardest the other way is court filing pressure at 2.3/10. The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, economic stress reads 3.1/10.
The filing record is not thin: 36 evictions over 4 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 7.6% against 15.2% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 1.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.7/10.
Against average income of $73,000, annual rent is just 17%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Rice County average of 4.2 closely. Average gross rent is $1,060, close to the Northfield average.
41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27131070601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27131070601?
Census tract 27131070601 in Northfield scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27131070601?
Median gross rent is $1,060/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27131070601?
12.6% of residents in tract 27131070601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,939.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27131070601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 84th, minority 40th, housing 81th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27131070601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 36 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27131070601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.46% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27131070601 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27131070601 compare to Northfield overall?
Tract 27131070601 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Northfield at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Northfield
Top eight tracts in Northfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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