Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Elmo Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27163070405 · Washington County, MN · pop 5,161 · 95% of tract blocks fall in Lake Elmo
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 27163070405 in Lake Elmo ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,161 residents. It lands near the 61st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 77% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $166,702 a year. Renters make up 11% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,940
Renter share11.0%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$166,702
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
6
th percentile
Very Low
National
2
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Elmo and the region
Centroid at 45.0210, -92.9109 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Elmo scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Elmo
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Elmo
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Elmo
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Elmo
6.1
How Lake Elmo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 8Total filings over 3 yrs
- 6.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.8%Peak (2010)
- 2Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.8%Housing insecurity
- 3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.0%Food insecurity
- 2.9%SNAP enrollment
- 3.8%Transit barriers
- 3.6%No health insurance
- 11.5%Frequent mental distress
- 20.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Elmo
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake Elmo, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Washington County average of 5.1 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 4.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163070405
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070405?
Census tract 27163070405 in Lake Elmo scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163070405?
1.7% of residents in tract 27163070405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,161.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070405?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 28th, minority 14th, housing 38th.
Q4
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163070405?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163070405 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.03% of renter households, peaking at 10.8% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q5
What share of households in tract 27163070405 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 27163070405 compare to Lake Elmo overall?
Tract 27163070405 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Elmo at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Elmo; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Elmo
Top eight tracts in Lake Elmo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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