Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Elmo Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27163070405 · Washington County, MN · pop 5,161 · 95% of tract blocks fall in Lake Elmo
With a score of 3.2/10, tract 27163070405 in Lake Elmo, MN reads lower for landlord eviction risk. 77% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Washington County average of 44.0%.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,940
Renter share11.0%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$166,702
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
25
th percentile
Low
National
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Elmo and the region
Centroid at 45.0210, -92.9109 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Elmo scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Elmo
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Elmo
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Elmo
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Elmo
6.1
How Lake Elmo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 8Total filings over 3 yrs
- 6.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.8%Peak (2010)
- 2Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.8%Housing insecurity
- 3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.0%Food insecurity
- 2.9%SNAP enrollment
- 3.8%Transit barriers
- 3.6%No health insurance
- 11.5%Frequent mental distress
- 20.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Elmo
What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.4/10. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Food insecurity runs 5.0% against 17.8% nationally.
Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.5/10. Housing insecurity runs 4.8% against 14.2% nationally.
Court records carry 8 eviction filings across 3 observed years. Against the Washington County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.
The worst year on record was 2010, when 10.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163070405
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070405?
Census tract 27163070405 in Lake Elmo scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163070405?
1.7% of residents in tract 27163070405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,161.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070405?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 28th, minority 14th, housing 38th.
Q4
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163070405?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163070405 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.03% of renter households, peaking at 10.8% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q5
What share of households in tract 27163070405 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 27163070405 compare to Lake Elmo overall?
Tract 27163070405 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Elmo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Elmo; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Elmo
Top eight tracts in Lake Elmo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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