Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Lake St. Croix Beach Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27163071101 · Washington County, MN · pop 3,540 · 39% of tract blocks fall in Lake St. Croix Beach
27163071101 is a census tract in Lake St. Croix Beach, MN. It scores 3.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,540 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.8/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,490
Renter share10.3%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$101,754
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
46
th percentile
Moderate
National
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake St. Croix Beach and the region
Centroid at 44.9406, -92.7689 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake St. Croix Beach scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake St. Croix Beach
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,617 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake St. Croix Beach
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake St. Croix Beach
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake St. Croix Beach
3.5
How Lake St. Croix Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 13%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 13Total filings over 3 yrs
- 2.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.8%Peak (2010)
- 5Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.8%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 5.1%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 25.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake St. Croix Beach
54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Washington County average of 44.0%. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.7/10. Food insecurity runs 7.8% against 17.8% nationally.
The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The filing record is not thin: 13 evictions over 3 years of observation.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 3/10. Housing insecurity runs 6.7% against 14.2% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2010 at 4.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163071101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163071101?
Census tract 27163071101 in Lake St. Croix Beach scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27163071101?
Median gross rent is $1,617/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163071101?
7.2% of residents in tract 27163071101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,540.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163071101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 24th, minority 13th, housing 12th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163071101?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 13 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163071101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.95% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27163071101 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27163071101 compare to Lake St. Croix Beach overall?
Tract 27163071101 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Lake St. Croix Beach at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake St. Croix Beach; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related
Explore the geography around tract 27163071101
Parent city ↑
Lake St. Croix Beach
3.4 / 10
Parent county ↑
Washington County
Parent state ↑
Minnesota
Sibling tract →
Tract 27163070207
3.9 / 10
Sibling tract →
Tract 27163070909
3.9 / 10
Sibling tract →
Tract 27163071010
3.9 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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