Census Tract · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Natchez Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 28001000400 · Adams County, MS · pop 2,983

28001000400 is a census tract in Natchez, MS. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,983. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score

5.7

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 33% Owners 38%

Tract context

Occupied units1,293

Renter share62.3%

SVI overall0.96

Poverty rate63.7%

Median income$19,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Natchez and the region

Centroid at 31.5629, -91.3776 · click any tract to drill in

Why Natchez scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Natchez

6.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Mississippi legislature & governorship

1.8

Economic stress

63.7% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$347 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Natchez

6.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Natchez

8.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Natchez

8.1

How Natchez compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

99%Socioeconomic
94%Household composition
99%Racial/ethnic minority
59%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

36.5%Housing insecurity
29.3%Utility-shutoff threat
53.2%Food insecurity
46.3%SNAP enrollment
27.2%Transit barriers
17.8%No health insurance
20.9%Frequent mental distress
53.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Natchez

At $347 a month, rents run 57% under what the rest of Natchez commands. The poverty rate is 64%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Housing insecurity runs 36.5% against 14.2% nationally. Disability prevalence runs 53.6% against 31.5% nationally.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against Adams County at 35.8%, 47% of renters here are cost-burdened.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. Against the Adams County average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

Nationally it ranks #21,564 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 28001000400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 28001000400?

Census tract 28001000400 in Natchez scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 28001000400?

Median gross rent is $347/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 28001000400?

63.7% of residents in tract 28001000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,983.

How socially vulnerable is tract 28001000400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 94th, minority 99th, housing 59th.

What share of households in tract 28001000400 struggle to pay rent?

About 36.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 29.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 28001000400 compare to Natchez overall?

Tract 28001000400 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Natchez at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Natchez eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Natchez

Top eight tracts in Natchez ranked by composite eviction-risk score.