Natchez Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Food insecurity runs 50.5% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 46%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Housing insecurity runs 34.2% against 14.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.

The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. Against the Adams County average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

At $678 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Natchez commands. Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the MS average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 39% of renters.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $29,788. 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.