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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

New Town Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Charles

Tract 29183310202 · St. Charles County, MO · pop 3,306 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

With a score of 4.2/10, tract 29183310202 in the New Town area of St. Charles, MO reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,306. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.9/10.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 17% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,422
Renter share26.7%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$81,667

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In New Town
Very High
Within parent city
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 20 tracts In St. Charles
Elevated
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 85 tracts In St. Charles County
High
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#523 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Charles and the region

Centroid at 38.8175, -90.4818 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Town scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Charles
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$983 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Charles
1.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Charles
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Charles
2.1

How New Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
New Town risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 310202St. Charles: 3.23.2St. Charlesparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 235Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 6.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.2%Peak (2013)
  • 22Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 291833102022003: 18 filings (7.49/100 renter HHs)2004: 17 filings (7.07/100 renter HHs)2005: 10 filings (3.80/100 renter HHs)2008: 16 filings (6.08/100 renter HHs)2009: 16 filings (6.08/100 renter HHs)2010: 25 filings (5.52/100 renter HHs)2011: 26 filings (5.95/100 renter HHs)2012: 24 filings (5.49/100 renter HHs)2013: 36 filings (8.24/100 renter HHs)2015: 25 filings (5.72/100 renter HHs)2017: 22 filings (5.80/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 22% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within New Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Town

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.1/10.

Average gross rent is $983, 21% below the St. Charles average. 11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Court records carry 235 eviction filings across 11 observed years. Against the St. Charles County average of 3.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. Filings peaked in 2013 at 8.2% of renter households.

In a typical year about 6.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $81,667, annual rent is just 14%.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 29183310202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29183310202?

Census tract 29183310202 in the New Town neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29183310202?

Median gross rent is $983/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29183310202?

9.6% of residents in tract 29183310202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,306.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29183310202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 72th, minority 32th, housing 29th.
Q5

Is tract 29183310202 considered part of New Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29183310202 fall within New Town (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29183310202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 235 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 29183310202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.11% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 29183310202 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 29183310202 compare to St. Charles overall?

Tract 29183310202 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of St. Charles at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Charles eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Charles

Top eight tracts in St. Charles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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