Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally
Goodfellow Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Pine Lawn
Tract 29189212202 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 2,282 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 29189212202 covers the Goodfellow Terrace area of Pine Lawn, home to 2,282 residents. For landlords it grades 7.4/10, an elevated reading. It lands near the 98th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
85% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $907 monthly, set against $23,854 in average yearly household income, roughly 46% of income at the averages. About 73% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 63%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units913
Renter share73.2%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate34.1%
Median income$23,854
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pine Lawn and the region
Centroid at 38.6974, -90.2738 · click any tract to drill in
Why Goodfellow Terrace scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Pine Lawn
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
34.1% poverty · this tract
8.5
Supply constraint
$907 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pine Lawn
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pine Lawn
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pine Lawn
9.6
How Goodfellow Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 12%Grade B
- 88%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 373Total filings 2020-21
- 4.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.34×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 47.7%Housing insecurity
- 45.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 62.4%Food insecurity
- 69.8%SNAP enrollment
- 35.9%Transit barriers
- 20.7%No health insurance
- 26.2%Frequent mental distress
- 62.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Goodfellow Terrace
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Pine Lawn, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 47.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 45.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189212202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189212202?
Census tract 29189212202 in the Goodfellow Terrace neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189212202?
Median gross rent is $907/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 85% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189212202?
34.1% of residents in tract 29189212202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,282.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189212202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 90th, minority 97th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 29189212202 considered part of Goodfellow Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189212202 fall within Goodfellow Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189212202 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.34× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189212202 struggle to pay rent?
About 47.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 45.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189212202 compare to Pine Lawn overall?
Tract 29189212202 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Pine Lawn at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pine Lawn; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189212202 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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