Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally
Carr Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , St. Louis
Tract 29510127500 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 2,024 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
The Carr Square neighborhood of St. Louis anchors census tract 29510127500, which lands at 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #9,607 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $767 a month while the average household earns $28,982 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 84% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units1,305
Renter share84.4%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate45.2%
Median income$28,982
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6375, -90.2103 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carr Square scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
45.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$767 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Carr Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 57%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,238Total filings over 13 yrs
- 12.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.3%Peak (2010)
- 102Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 36% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 742Total filings 2020-21
- 9.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.46×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.7%Housing insecurity
- 26.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 38.6%Food insecurity
- 39.1%SNAP enrollment
- 21.8%Transit barriers
- 14.8%No health insurance
- 22.8%Frequent mental distress
- 45.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carr Square
The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis City County average of 5.8 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,238 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 12.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 13.3% of renter households in 2010.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 57% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510127500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510127500?
Census tract 29510127500 in the Carr Square neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510127500?
Median gross rent is $767/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510127500?
45.2% of residents in tract 29510127500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,024.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510127500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 72th, minority 86th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 29510127500 considered part of Carr Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510127500 fall within Carr Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510127500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,238 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510127500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.02% of renter households, peaking at 13.3% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510127500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.46× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510127500 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510127500 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510127500 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510127500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 57% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Midtown
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Old North Saint Louis
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
JeffVanderLou
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
College Hill
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Wells Goodfellow
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Columbus Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Covenant Blu Grand Center
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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