Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Prescott Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Belgrade
Tract 30031000104 · Gallatin County, MT · pop 4,320 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
For landlords sizing up the Prescott Ranch neighborhood of Belgrade, census tract 30031000104 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. On the national scale it ranks #48,799 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,587 monthly, set against $86,464 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 49% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,713
Renter share49.3%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate20.9%
Median income$86,464
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Belgrade and the region
Centroid at 45.7926, -111.1902 · click any tract to drill in
Why Prescott Ranch scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Belgrade
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
20.9% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,587 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Belgrade
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Belgrade
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Belgrade
5.9
How Prescott Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 9%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.5%Housing insecurity
- 8.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.0%Food insecurity
- 10.6%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 28.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Prescott Ranch
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Belgrade eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Gallatin County average of 4.7 and above the Montana statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 30031000104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30031000104?
Census tract 30031000104 in the Prescott Ranch neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 30031000104?
Median gross rent is $1,587/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 30031000104?
20.9% of residents in tract 30031000104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,320.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 30031000104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 4th, minority 9th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 30031000104 considered part of Prescott Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30031000104 fall within Prescott Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 30031000104 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 30031000104 compare to Belgrade overall?
Tract 30031000104 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Belgrade at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Belgrade eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Belgrade
Top eight tracts in Belgrade ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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