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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

University District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Missoula

Tract 30063000502 · Missoula County, MT · pop 3,378 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 30063000502 covers the University District area of Missoula, home to 3,378 residents. For landlords it grades 4.6/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 25% of US census tracts.

About 22% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,056 a month against an average household income of $53,125 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 67% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 53% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units836
Renter share67.5%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$53,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In University District
Very Low
Within parent city
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 18 tracts In Missoula
Elevated
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 29 tracts In Missoula County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#56 of 319 tracts In Montana
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Missoula and the region

Centroid at 46.8615, -113.9901 · click any tract to drill in

Why University District scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Missoula
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,056 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Missoula
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Missoula
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Missoula
5.5

How University District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
University District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 000502Missoula: 3.13.1Missoulaparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within University District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in University District

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Missoula eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Missoula County average of 4.8 and above the Montana statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 30063000502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30063000502?

Census tract 30063000502 in the University District neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 30063000502?

Median gross rent is $1,056/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 30063000502?

14.4% of residents in tract 30063000502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,378.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 30063000502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 1th, minority 14th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 30063000502 considered part of University District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30063000502 fall within University District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 30063000502 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 30063000502 compare to Missoula overall?

Tract 30063000502 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Missoula at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Missoula eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Missoula

Top eight tracts in Missoula ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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