Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
University District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Missoula
Tract 30063000502 · Missoula County, MT · pop 3,378 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 30063000502 in the University District area of Missoula, MT reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,378. Cost burden runs 22% here against 38.9% across Missoula County.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 53%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units836
Renter share67.5%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$53,125
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Missoula and the region
Centroid at 46.8615, -113.9901 · click any tract to drill in
Why University District scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Missoula
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,056 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Missoula
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Missoula
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Missoula
5.5
How University District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within University District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.3%Food insecurity
- 6.4%SNAP enrollment
- 9.8%Transit barriers
- 14.3%No health insurance
- 20.3%Frequent mental distress
- 25.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in University District
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.6/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.7/10. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8/10. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Missoula County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.
SNAP participation runs 6.4% against 15.2% nationally. At $1,056 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Missoula commands. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 4.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MT average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $53,125.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 30063000502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30063000502?
Census tract 30063000502 in the University District neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 30063000502?
Median gross rent is $1,056/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 30063000502?
14.4% of residents in tract 30063000502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,378.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 30063000502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 1th, minority 14th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 30063000502 considered part of University District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30063000502 fall within University District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 30063000502 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 30063000502 compare to Missoula overall?
Tract 30063000502 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Missoula at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Missoula eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Missoula
Top eight tracts in Missoula ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MT
Lewis & Clark
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MT
Heart of Missoula
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MT
University District
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MT
Westside
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
Franklin to the Fort
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
River Road
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
Franklin to the Fort
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
Northside
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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