Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
River Road Eviction Risk: Moderate , Missoula
Tract 30063000801 · Missoula County, MT · pop 3,304 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
In the River Road neighborhood of Missoula, census tract 30063000801 scores 5.5/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 57th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,180 a month against an average household income of $53,061 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,814
Renter share57.8%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$53,061
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
82
th percentile
High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Missoula and the region
Centroid at 46.8744, -114.0261 · click any tract to drill in
Why River Road scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Missoula
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,180 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Missoula
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Missoula
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Missoula
5.5
How River Road compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 16%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.7%Food insecurity
- 10.8%SNAP enrollment
- 9.1%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 20.0%Frequent mental distress
- 29.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in River Road
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Missoula eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Missoula County average of 4.8 and above the Montana statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 30063000801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30063000801?
Census tract 30063000801 in the River Road neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 30063000801?
Median gross rent is $1,180/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 30063000801?
15.4% of residents in tract 30063000801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,304.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 30063000801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 15th, minority 16th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 30063000801 considered part of River Road?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30063000801 fall within River Road (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 30063000801 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 30063000801 compare to Missoula overall?
Tract 30063000801 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Missoula at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Missoula eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Missoula
Top eight tracts in Missoula ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MT
Heart of Missoula
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MT
University District
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MT
Lewis & Clark
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
Franklin to the Fort
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
Westside
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
University District
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
Franklin to the Fort
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MT
Northside
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Related