Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

River Road Eviction Risk: Moderate , Missoula

Tract 30063000801 · Missoula County, MT · pop 3,304 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 30063000801 sits in the River Road area of Missoula eviction risk, MT, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. It is home to 3,304 residents. Against Missoula County at 38.9%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 29% Owners 42%

Tract context

Occupied units1,814

Renter share57.8%

SVI overall0.59

Poverty rate15.4%

Median income$53,061

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Missoula and the region

Centroid at 46.8744, -114.0261 · click any tract to drill in

Why River Road scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Missoula

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.2

State political climate

Montana legislature & governorship

1.7

Economic stress

15.4% poverty · this tract

3.9

Supply constraint

$1,180 rent vs county FMR

2.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Missoula

4.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Missoula

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Missoula

5.5

How River Road compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

65%Socioeconomic
15%Household composition
16%Racial/ethnic minority
88%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.4%Housing insecurity
8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
13.7%Food insecurity
10.8%SNAP enrollment
9.1%Transit barriers
10.2%No health insurance
20.0%Frequent mental distress
29.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in River Road

The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.7/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.

Against the Missoula County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.3/10. Statewide the MT average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,180, close to the Missoula average.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $53,061. 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 30063000801

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30063000801?

Census tract 30063000801 in the River Road neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 30063000801?

Median gross rent is $1,180/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 30063000801?

15.4% of residents in tract 30063000801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,304.

How socially vulnerable is tract 30063000801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 15th, minority 16th, housing 88th.

Is tract 30063000801 considered part of River Road?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30063000801 fall within River Road (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 30063000801 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 30063000801 compare to Missoula overall?

Tract 30063000801 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Missoula at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Missoula eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Missoula

Top eight tracts in Missoula ranked by composite eviction-risk score.