Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally
Nelson Eviction Risk: Lower , Raymond
Tract 31109010202 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 4,639 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
The Nelson neighborhood of Raymond anchors census tract 31109010202, which lands at 3.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 4% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 27% of renter households, a moderate level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $898 a month while the average household earns $112,788 a year, roughly 10% of income at the averages. Renters make up 13% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,638
Renter share13.1%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$112,788
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
5
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Raymond and the region
Centroid at 40.9364, -96.8059 · click any tract to drill in
Why Nelson scores 1.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Raymond
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$898 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Raymond
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Raymond
1.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Raymond
1.0
How Nelson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 8%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 67Total filings over 13 yrs
- 1.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.0%Peak (2006)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.4%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 6.4%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 24.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Nelson
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Raymond, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lancaster County average of 4.4 and below the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 31109010202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109010202?
Census tract 31109010202 in the Nelson neighborhood scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 31109010202?
Median gross rent is $898/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 31109010202?
4.2% of residents in tract 31109010202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,639.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 31109010202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 35th, minority 8th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 31109010202 considered part of Nelson?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109010202 fall within Nelson (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109010202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 67 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 31109010202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.83% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 31109010202 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 31109010202 compare to Raymond overall?
Tract 31109010202 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Raymond at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Raymond; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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