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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

Chalco Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 31153010633 · Sarpy County, NE · pop 3,477 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 31153010633 covers part of the Chalco area of Chalco, NE, and scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,477 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.7/10.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 17% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,413
Renter share29.9%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$78,923

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Chalco
Elevated
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Chalco
Moderate
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#14 of 47 tracts In Sarpy County
Elevated
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#133 of 553 tracts In Nebraska
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chalco and the region

Centroid at 41.1798, -96.1257 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chalco scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chalco
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,237 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chalco
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chalco
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chalco
5.0

How Chalco compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chalco risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.3This tracttract 0106333.6Chalcoparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 47Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 3.85%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.5%Peak (2012)
  • 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 31153010633
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Chalco. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chalco

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.8/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10.

43% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Sarpy County average of 37.2%. 9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

SNAP participation runs 6.6% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 47 eviction filings across 11 observed years.

Food insecurity runs 10.2% against 17.8% nationally. The worst year on record was 2012, when 3.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.9% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 31153010633

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31153010633?

Census tract 31153010633 in the Chalco neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 31153010633?

Median gross rent is $1,237/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 31153010633?

6.7% of residents in tract 31153010633 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,477.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 31153010633?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 7th, minority 25th, housing 16th.
Q5

Is tract 31153010633 considered part of Chalco?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31153010633 fall within Chalco (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31153010633?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 47 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 31153010633 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.85% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 31153010633 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 31153010633 compare to Chalco overall?

Tract 31153010633 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Chalco at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chalco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chalco

Top eight tracts in Chalco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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