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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

East Derry Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 33015003400 · Rockingham County, NH · pop 5,247 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 33015003400 covers part of the East Derry Historic District area of Derry, NH, and scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Against Rockingham County at 45.1%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 14% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units2,247
Renter share37.5%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$75,167

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In East Derry Historic District
Very Low
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Derry
High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 72 tracts In Rockingham County
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 349 tracts In New Hampshire
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Derry and the region

Centroid at 42.8923, -71.3188 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Derry Historic District scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Derry
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
New Hampshire legislature & governorship
2.5
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,545 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Derry
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Derry
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Derry
5.2

How East Derry Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Derry Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 0034004.5Derryparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Derry Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Derry Historic District

The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.7/10.

Against the Rockingham County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.5/10. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 7.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,545, close to the Derry average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $75,167.

37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 33015003400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33015003400?

Census tract 33015003400 in the East Derry Historic District neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 33015003400?

Median gross rent is $1,545/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 33015003400?

6.7% of residents in tract 33015003400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,247.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 33015003400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 28th, minority 24th, housing 95th.
Q5

Is tract 33015003400 considered part of East Derry Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33015003400 fall within East Derry Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 33015003400 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 33015003400 compare to Derry overall?

Tract 33015003400 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Derry at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Derry eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Derry

Top eight tracts in Derry ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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