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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Garfield Park Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 34003012002 · Bergen County, NJ · pop 3,808 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 34003012002 covers part of the Garfield Park area of East Rutherford, NJ, and scores 7.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,808 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 31% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,474
Renter share51.3%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$96,373

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 14 tracts In Garfield Park
Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Garfield
Very Low
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#53 of 203 tracts In Bergen County
Elevated
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#515 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Garfield and the region

Centroid at 40.8458, -74.1120 · click any tract to drill in

Why Garfield Park scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Garfield
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,897 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Garfield
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Garfield
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Garfield
4.4

How Garfield Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Garfield Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.5This tracttract 0120027.0Garfieldparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 126Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 4.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.4%Peak (2013)
  • 15Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34003012002
Filings dropped 52% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Garfield Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Garfield Park

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.9/10.

Against the Bergen County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 40% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Bergen County average of 46.6%.

SNAP participation runs 6.6% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 126 evictions over 5 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2013, when 5.4% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Bergen Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 4.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #10,320 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34003012002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34003012002?

Census tract 34003012002 in the Garfield Park neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34003012002?

Median gross rent is $1,897/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34003012002?

6.6% of residents in tract 34003012002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,808.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34003012002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 6th, minority 63th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 34003012002 considered part of Garfield Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34003012002 fall within Garfield Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34003012002?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 126 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 34003012002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.15% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34003012002 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34003012002 compare to Garfield overall?

Tract 34003012002 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Garfield at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Garfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34003012002 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 33% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Garfield

Top eight tracts in Garfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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