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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Arcola Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fair Lawn

Tract 34003017502 · Bergen County, NJ · pop 4,273 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 34003017502 covers part of the Arcola area of Fair Lawn, NJ, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,273. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 10% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,408
Renter share17.0%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate3.9%
Median income$128,393

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Arcola
Low
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 8 tracts In Fair Lawn
Moderate
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#134 of 203 tracts In Bergen County
Low
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#1,150 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fair Lawn and the region

Centroid at 40.9244, -74.0995 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arcola scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fair Lawn
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,809 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fair Lawn
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fair Lawn
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fair Lawn
6.0

How Arcola compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arcola risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.5This tracttract 0175026.2Fair Lawnparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arcola. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arcola

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.9/10. SNAP participation runs 3.6% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 7.5% against 17.8% nationally.

Against Bergen County at 46.6%, 42% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Bergen County average of 6.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Bergen Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.1/10. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $128,393, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $1,809, close to the Fair Lawn average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34003017502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34003017502?

Census tract 34003017502 in the Arcola neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34003017502?

Median gross rent is $1,809/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34003017502?

3.9% of residents in tract 34003017502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,273.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34003017502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 45th, minority 58th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 34003017502 considered part of Arcola?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34003017502 fall within Arcola (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 34003017502 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34003017502 compare to Fair Lawn overall?

Tract 34003017502 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Fair Lawn at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fair Lawn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34003017502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fair Lawn

Top eight tracts in Fair Lawn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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