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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , West New York

Tract 34017015201 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 3,003 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Lincoln Square in West New York is where census tract 34017015201 sits, home to 3,003 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is $1/10. On the national scale it ranks #4,777 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,119 monthly, set against $158,693 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 43% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 25% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,495
Renter share42.7%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$158,693

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Lincoln Square
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 11 tracts In West New York
Very Low
Within county
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#146 of 183 tracts In Hudson County
Low
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#609 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across West New York and the region

Centroid at 40.7865, -74.0000 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Square scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from West New York
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,119 rent vs county FMR
8.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from West New York
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from West New York
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from West New York
7.7

How Lincoln Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lincoln Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 015201West New York: 8.28.2West New Yorkparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 45Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 1.80%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.8%Peak (2016)
  • 8Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2014 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340170152012014: 7 filings (1.19/100 renter HHs)2016: 18 filings (2.84/100 renter HHs)2017: 12 filings (1.89/100 renter HHs)2018: 8 filings (1.26/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lincoln Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Square

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from West New York eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hudson County average of 7.0 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34017015201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017015201?

Census tract 34017015201 in the Lincoln Square neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34017015201?

Median gross rent is $3,119/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34017015201?

3.4% of residents in tract 34017015201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,003.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34017015201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 6th, minority 74th, housing 48th.
Q5

Is tract 34017015201 considered part of Lincoln Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017015201 fall within Lincoln Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017015201?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 45 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017015201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.80% of renter households, peaking at 2.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34017015201 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34017015201 compare to West New York overall?

Tract 34017015201 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of West New York at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from West New York eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34017015201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in West New York

Top eight tracts in West New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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