Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , West New York
Tract 34017015001 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 2,147 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
34017015001 is a census tract in the Lincoln Square area of Guttenberg, NJ. It scores 6.3/10 for landlords. 36% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,267
Renter share28.1%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$108,688
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across West New York and the region
Centroid at 40.7899, -73.9986 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln Square scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from West New York
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,218 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from West New York
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from West New York
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from West New York
7.4
How Lincoln Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 19%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 4Total filings over 3 yrs
- 0.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.8%Peak (2017)
- 1Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lincoln Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.6%Food insecurity
- 2.9%SNAP enrollment
- 3.9%Transit barriers
- 5.7%No health insurance
- 10.4%Frequent mental distress
- 18.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Square
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10. 62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Hudson County average of 46.5%.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Average gross rent is $2,218, 32% above the Guttenberg average.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. Against the Hudson County average of 7.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points. Food insecurity runs 6.6% against 17.8% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 4 evictions over 3 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2017 at 0.8% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34017015001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017015001?
Census tract 34017015001 in the Lincoln Square neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34017015001?
Median gross rent is $2,218/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34017015001?
3.4% of residents in tract 34017015001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,147.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34017015001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 30th, minority 72th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 34017015001 considered part of Lincoln Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017015001 fall within Lincoln Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017015001?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 34017015001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.52% of renter households, peaking at 0.8% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34017015001 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34017015001 compare to West New York overall?
Tract 34017015001 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of West New York at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from West New York eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34017015001 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in West New York
Top eight tracts in West New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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