Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #2,005 of 84,120 nationally

Hopelawn Eviction Risk: High , Perth Amboy

Tract 34023004200 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 3,307 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 7.8/10, tract 34023004200 in Hopelawn in Perth Amboy ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,307 residents. That puts it among the highest-scoring tracts in the entire country, the top 1% nationally for landlord eviction difficulty.

78% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 45% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,620 monthly, set against $69,033 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 8% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,134
Renter share38.4%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate24.4%
Median income$69,033

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Hopelawn
High
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 12 tracts In Perth Amboy
Elevated
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#200 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Perth Amboy and the region

Centroid at 40.5229, -74.2784 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hopelawn scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Perth Amboy
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
24.4% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,620 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Perth Amboy
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Perth Amboy
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Perth Amboy
8.3

How Hopelawn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hopelawn risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.08.0This tracttract 004200Perth Amboy: 8.38.3Perth Amboyparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 33Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 6.60%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.6%Peak (2015)
  • 33Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hopelawn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hopelawn

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Perth Amboy eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Middlesex County average of 6.4 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 26.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023004200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023004200?

Census tract 34023004200 in the Hopelawn neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34023004200?

Median gross rent is $1,620/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023004200?

24.4% of residents in tract 34023004200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,307.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023004200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 68th, minority 90th, housing 40th.
Q5

Is tract 34023004200 considered part of Hopelawn?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023004200 fall within Hopelawn (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023004200?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 33 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023004200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.60% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34023004200 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34023004200 compare to Perth Amboy overall?

Tract 34023004200 scores 8/10, lower than the parent city of Perth Amboy at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Perth Amboy eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Perth Amboy

Top eight tracts in Perth Amboy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related