Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally
Hopelawn Eviction Risk: High , Perth Amboy
Tract 34023004200 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 3,307 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
34023004200 is a census tract in the Hopelawn area of Perth Amboy, NJ. It scores 9.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,307 residents. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,134
Renter share38.4%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate24.4%
Median income$69,033
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Perth Amboy and the region
Centroid at 40.5229, -74.2784 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hopelawn scores 9.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Perth Amboy
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
24.4% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,620 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Perth Amboy
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Perth Amboy
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Perth Amboy
8.3
How Hopelawn compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 33Total filings over 1 yrs
- 6.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.6%Peak (2015)
- 33Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Hopelawn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.2%Housing insecurity
- 13.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.1%Food insecurity
- 18.8%SNAP enrollment
- 14.6%Transit barriers
- 29.6%No health insurance
- 17.1%Frequent mental distress
- 34.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hopelawn
Against Middlesex County at 44.9%, 78% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 3.6 points above the Middlesex County average of 5.7.
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 29.6% against 11.3% nationally. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.7/10.
The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Housing insecurity runs 26.2% against 14.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 33 evictions over 1 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2015, when 6.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #3,082 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34023004200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023004200?
Census tract 34023004200 in the Hopelawn neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34023004200?
Median gross rent is $1,620/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34023004200?
24.4% of residents in tract 34023004200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,307.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34023004200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 68th, minority 90th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 34023004200 considered part of Hopelawn?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34023004200 fall within Hopelawn (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023004200?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 33 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023004200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.60% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34023004200 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34023004200 compare to Perth Amboy overall?
Tract 34023004200 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Perth Amboy at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Perth Amboy eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Perth Amboy
Top eight tracts in Perth Amboy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Tottenville
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Hopelawn
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
South Amboy Junction
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Tottenville
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Maurer
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Hopelawn
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Maurer
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Hopelawn
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
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